Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Deem These Data From Intrade --Obamacare Takes a Tumble




I wrote yesterday for Politico that the "Slaughter Solution" was too clever by half--exactly the sort of trickery that the voters hate. (See "Cornhusker Kickback," etc.) And so, I wrote, the Obamacare bill, which had been gaining momentum in recent weeks, might have taken "a fatal turn."

And now, on Intrade, the wisdom-of-crowds betting outfit, I see that the "value" of Obamacare has fallen from 70 to 55. That's a 15-point drop in a single day, or 21 percent.

That's a big drop. Yes, getting Dennis Kucinich's vote was a big deal, but when I read that there are 36 "no" or "likely no" votes among Democrats, and 50 or so undecideds, I start to wonder if maybe the price for Obamacare is still not too high. (The "magic number for the Democrats is 37--that is, the number of votes that they can afford to lose.)

15 comments:

  1. Every Hill Person voting for this healthcare bill, the way it is now, is going to be out on their tuckus next November; if, their names appear on a ballot.

    To beat them, all one has to run on is to say: 'I will put forth a bill making THIS healthcare law null & void'! AND THEY WILL WIN!
    There are a lot of "crazies' in the world Jim; but, I didn't know they all lived on Capital Hill!
    Thanks for the updates.

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  2. A thought came to my mind that maybe the leadership has an arm twisting methodology that rivals in success ratio the collection efforts of the deceased heavyweight prize fighter Sonny Liston. Those of you who are aged enough and in addition fight fans will remember the the fights that Sonny lost to a young Cassius Clay about to become Mohammed Ali. What most people do not know is that Sonny Liston was once one of the most feared boxers of the early sixties and he was never known to have a Barry Manilow personality. When he was broke he worked as a bill collector and loan disposition man. He had a working format which brings me back to my wonderment as to whether the Democrats have one also. Mr. Pinkerton has shared with us an interesting chart that causes me to compare it to an electorate pie. I just wonder if the usual arm twisting as been redefined in some way to quickly change minds and hearts.

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  3. If this monstrosity passes it is lights out for America. Smart individuals will begin to plan how they can evade taxes, basically live outside the in-place, increasingly corrupt system.

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  4. Jay:
    You said: "I just wonder if the usual arm twisting has been redefined in some way to quickly change minds and hearts."

    Jay, I think BO may have caught the Oval Office virus: "Waterboarding"! Why not, it worked for W!
    ;-)

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  5. George Bush and Bill Clinton--both parties working in tandem have put this country in a vary bad position. What position is that you ask.
    Horizontal -- like in a coffin.

    it would appear obama is the one "they" [the one world globalists] have sent in to finish the job by nailing the coffin lid shut tight forever.

    things may change. there may still be time. what to do?

    PRAY PRAY PRAY. THIS IS NOT A DRILL.
    DONG DONG DONG DONG DONG DONG DONG.
    ALL HANDS MAN YOUR BATTLE STATIONS.

    first thing is get active in a tea party.
    second thing is pray for obama. the road he travels has sighs everywhere which read "u-turns are permitted on this road."

    and last but not least go to- youtube- and read
    the video titled "FALL OF THE REPUBLIC"

    THANK YOU FOR YOUR SPLENDID REPORTING.
    I LOOK FORWARD TO MEETINg YOU ONE DAY SOON.

    JOHN W. BUGLER
    BUGLER.ORG

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  6. let's vote against every single incumbent and start over.

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  7. Obamacare has indeed take a big fall, They is no way back from here I guess.

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  8. nice facts are shown...but definitely OBAMA has strong effect on people in general...

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  9. It was great to come throughout the post and get some very important things.

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  10. when I read that there are 36 "no" or "likely no" votes among Democrats, and 50 or so undecideds, I start to wonder if maybe the price for Obamacare is still not too high.

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  11. The "magic number for the Democrats is 37--that is, the number of votes that they can afford to lose.

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  12. Obamacare is still not too high. The magic number for the Democrats is 37...

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  13. I really do not understand what you are trying to say here but i'm confident you can explain me.

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  14. This is described an authentic way.More or less the topic is relevant.

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